Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.553727e-05 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064
2025-04-20 1.882441e-05 0.000025 0.000032 0.000040 0.000050 0.000061 0.000074
2025-04-27 1.504008e-05 0.000022 0.000029 0.000040 0.000052 0.000067 0.000085
2025-05-04 1.237253e-05 0.000019 0.000028 0.000040 0.000055 0.000073 0.000096
2025-05-11 1.112082e-05 0.000018 0.000028 0.000042 0.000059 0.000081 0.000110
2025-05-18 9.360939e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000042 0.000061 0.000086 0.000119
2025-05-25 7.379202e-06 0.000014 0.000024 0.000040 0.000060 0.000087 0.000124
2025-06-01 6.012571e-06 0.000013 0.000023 0.000038 0.000061 0.000090 0.000130
2025-06-08 5.049600e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000038 0.000062 0.000094 0.000138
2025-06-15 4.253473e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000038 0.000063 0.000097 0.000146
2025-06-22 3.495947e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000037 0.000063 0.000100 0.000152
2025-06-29 2.743040e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000035 0.000062 0.000100 0.000156
2025-07-06 1.923948e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000033 0.000060 0.000100 0.000158
2025-07-13 1.409042e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000032 0.000060 0.000102 0.000164
2025-07-20 1.107799e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000031 0.000061 0.000106 0.000174
2025-07-27 8.752158e-07 0.000005 0.000013 0.000031 0.000063 0.000111 0.000184
2025-08-03 8.009615e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000033 0.000067 0.000120 0.000200
2025-08-10 6.226914e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000033 0.000069 0.000124 0.000210
2025-08-17 4.090312e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000031 0.000067 0.000124 0.000213
2025-08-24 2.799158e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000030 0.000067 0.000126 0.000220
2025-08-31 1.999097e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000030 0.000068 0.000129 0.000228
2025-09-07 1.400665e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000030 0.000069 0.000133 0.000237
2025-09-14 8.913971e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000029 0.000069 0.000135 0.000243